Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Latest observations show that the area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean is getting better organized and a depression could form at any time. An aircraft is scheduled to enter the system today. I will have a full update on the findings later this afternoon.

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. The first real cold front of the season will be embarking on East Central Florida this weekend. Temperatures will dip into the 50’s, possibly the lower 50’s on Sunday night. This cool weather will last into next week.
 
The next 2 days will be extremly unsettled with a strong high pressure ridge banding with a low pressure center. This will bring showery weather to our area tonight. Stating tomoorrow, Rain will become heavier and more widespread as the low moves into the Gulf and merges with a well developed storm in the Plains. The  wind flow will generate a classic “overrunning” rain event that is characterized by widespread and steady rainfall. The heaviest rain will occur Friday and Friday night with the chances around 80%.
Saturday, a strong jet coming down from the Plains will help push the rain out of our area and usher in the cold front.
Sunday will be gorgeous with temps barely making 80 and lows in the 50’s. Once we get through the rain, get ready for some great fall weather!
Follow the radar action right here as the rains begin to fall. Tomorrow, I may activate the Digital Doppler loops as the system evolves. I will send a notification with the link when it is actvated.

We are tracking Tropical Storm Kyle in the Atlantic!

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. We are tracking Tropical Storm Kyle in the Atlantic. Kyle appears to be gettinhg his act together as he moves to the n-ne. He is in an area that is demonstating some wind shear which is the main facter in keeping the system in check. The intensity forecast is somewhat probleatic as the system is going to enter an area with less wind shear in the coming days. That should allow Kyle to strengthen. Depending on the rate of intensification at that time, we will tghen have a better idea of what strength Kyle will be when he nears New England or the Canadian Maritimes. Kyle could be very well be a hurricane when he approaches these areas.

The model forecast is also a bit problematic in the far reaches of the forecast. Residents in the NE US need to pay close attention to the progress of Kyle. This is especially true for New England. It is not out of the question for New England to experience hurricane conditions.

Although Kyle should start to weaken once he gets north of the Gulf Stream, there is a good possibility that he will maintain hurricane strength as he nears the New England area.
We will have to closely moniter the track changes (if any) over the next few days.
Invest 94 is now over the Carolinas with wind gusts near hurricane force but with no closed circulation, it cannot be officially classified.

If you have friends, relatives in the NE, please advise them to keep a heads up on the weather this coming week.

Florida Weather Information , Invest 93

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. We are now watching invest 93 with care. Invest 93 is now a broad area of cloudiness that is beginning to show some signs of development. Right now, the upper level winds are not really favorable for development but that is expected to change over the next couple of days. A depression could form in another day or two. Initially, the model runs were keeping the invest well to our south but the new models are showing more of a course east of the Bahamas. Because of this model shift, it is definitely worth watching. Here are the latest model runs. A recon will investigate the area tomorrow, if necessary.
Starting Sunday, the rain chances for East Central Florida are going to be on the increase for the next several days with the rain chances going up to 50%.
I will keep you posted with the recon information if a plane is indeed dispatched to the system.

Hurricane Ike 5 PM Update

Your Latest Florida Weather Information
Hi everybody. Hurricane Ike is hugging the south coast of Cuba. As expected, the core of Ike has been disrubted. This has weakened Ike to a 80 mph hurricane and further weakeing is possible. Once in the Gulf, he is expected to increase in intensity as he makes his way to the Gulf Coast.

Models are in uninanimous agreement on the forecast track. Tropical Storm warnings and a hurricane watch remain up for the Florida Keys.

Key West Digital Doppler Now Activated

Your Latest Florida Weather Information
Hi everybody. I have just actiovated my Key West Digital Doppler for Ike. Once the system gets to around Central Cube we will be able to moniter him live on radar. Here is the link… http://www.joesdiscoweathercentral.com/Storm_Floater_Radar_2.html . Bookmark this link as it will be used until we switch to the next radar site depending on the forecast track.

Ike Continues West-Sw

Your Latest Florida Weather Information
 Ike continues in a west SW direction and almost all modles are keeping the system to our South. In fact the newest track is keeping the system over Cuba for an extended period. I still want to stress that Ike is still relativly far out, so we need to watch carefully until he is past our latitude.
Hanna is still on her way up the east coast of the US with lots of rain and inclement weather.