Hurricane Ile 8 AM update September 7

Your Latest Florida Weather Information
Good Morning everybody! Indeed it is a good morning as Ike is following the track of the NHC quite closely. Models remain in good agreement that he is going to stay south of our area. Through the entire track, I felt that he WAS going to do this and that I kept stressing it but we also also have to point out the posibility of what other options the storm may have. The only part of Florida still in the cone are, very understanably, the Florida keys and extreme SW Florida.

Ike is moving just south of due west. This may be the much anticipated turn to the west but we will have to see in the next advisory if this is the case. Ike will level off on a more westerly track and then as he approaches the weakness in the ridge, he will make a turm more towards the west NW and then NW into the Central Gulf of Mexico. It will interesting to see just how much of him is left if he stays over Cuba for any length of time. Since he is a very healthy hurricane, he will most likely remain intact and restrengthen once he gets into the Gulf.

The models have stopped their southerly shifts and in fact, they have moved slightly north. The latest NHC track has also been adjusted slightly north in response to the change. Although it still looks good for our area, the critical time is coming in the forecast. Any diviation to the right could put the Keys or South Florida back into the danger cone so keep watching the updates. The models are still looking favorable so that is good news.

Ike remains a dangerous category 4 hurricane and it is not out of the question for more strengthening prior to landfall in Cuba. We will carefully watch as Ike gets closer to his pass under Florida.
I again stress, if you live the Keys, you need to adhere all evacuation orders. Any diviations in the track will be felt in this area first.
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