Hurricane Ike Approaching Texas!

Hi everybody. Hurricane Ike is slowly intensifying as it approaches the coast. Ike is now a 110 mph hurricane. The storm is massive and the storm surge is that of a much larger storm. The storm surge expected along the hurricane’s path is estimated to be 20 feet and will be up to 25 in some areas. keep in mind that the protective seawall around Galveston is only 17 feet high. Also keep in mind that many residents that were asked to leave did not. Although there will certainly be wind damage, the main problem with this storm is going to be the storm surge. It is a known fact that most hurricane related deaths are not from wind, they are from drowning in the surge.

Ike’s main feature is not his inner core. The system is an extremely large storm with a huge wind field. He lacks a well defined eye and that has helped him stay weaker. The area that Ike is going to hit has many refineries that pump out about one-fifth of our gasoline stock in the US.
A gauge located on Galveston Island indicates that the water has already risen 9 feet. The main surge will not be felt until just after landfall.

You can get a perfect view of the storm making landfall right here.
In addition to Ike, we are watching Invest 91 in the southern Bahamas. All indications are that this system is not likely to develop but it should be watched all the same. This area is actually a spin-off from Ike that was left behind. I will watch this area for any signs of development.

Hurricane Ike…Still affecting the Keys

Your Latest Florida Weather Information
Hi everybody. Hurricane Ike battered Key West last night with very heavy rains and winds of 50 mph. Street flooding and power outages were scattered throughout the night. Ike is currently moving NW but a w-nw motion is expected later today. The track of Ike has put the state of Texas on alert as possibly the next target. At 11 AM, Ike was moving little and gaining in both strength and size.

He is currently drifting in a general w-nw direction at about 3 mph. We never like to see storms stall. Ike has become a large cyclone with hurricane force winds extending to 80 miles and tropical storm force winds out to 205 miles. Ike is now a 90 mph hurricane. Ike is expected to pass over several very warm eddies in the Gulf. This could lead to significant strengthening in the coming days. There is strong confidence in the models for the next 3 days, thereafter the models spread out a bit but Ike should should be on the Texas coast in about 3 days.

We will be following that landfall with Digital Doppler as he approaches the region.
The tropical storm warning is still in effect from just West of Key West to the Dry Tortugas.
Gusty winds will still impact the Keys today but will subside as the day progresses.
Visitor will be able to start entering the Keys again on Thursday. You should check your reservations before going on your trip.

Awsome Weather Cam…Key West Hurricane IKE!

Hi guys, check out this weather cam from the Ship Wreck Museum in Key West. You will need the Media Player

Hurricane Ike 5 PM Update

Your Latest Florida Weather Information
Hi everybody. Hurricane Ike is hugging the south coast of Cuba. As expected, the core of Ike has been disrubted. This has weakened Ike to a 80 mph hurricane and further weakeing is possible. Once in the Gulf, he is expected to increase in intensity as he makes his way to the Gulf Coast.

Models are in uninanimous agreement on the forecast track. Tropical Storm warnings and a hurricane watch remain up for the Florida Keys.

Key West Digital Doppler Now Activated

Your Latest Florida Weather Information
Hi everybody. I have just actiovated my Key West Digital Doppler for Ike. Once the system gets to around Central Cube we will be able to moniter him live on radar. Here is the link… http://www.joesdiscoweathercentral.com/Storm_Floater_Radar_2.html . Bookmark this link as it will be used until we switch to the next radar site depending on the forecast track.

Hurricane Watch Issued For Florida Keys

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. New information at 11. Hurricane watches have been issued for the Florida Keys. Evacuations should be taken seriously. For Key West, ther is a 69% chance that they will receive winds of 39 MPH or higher and a 21% chance of winds over hurricane force.

For Miami, there is a 41% chance of winds over 39 MPH and a 5% chance of sustained winds over hurricane force.

Many draw bridges are being “locked down” to allow for smooth flow of traffic for the evacuations.

Hurricane Ike 11 PM Coverage!

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. Here is the latest. Ike is maintaining his 135 mph winds. The models…they are in unanimous agreement on the current forecast track. Again, the track has been shifted a bit farther from Florida. Most of Florida is now out of the cone. The chances for hurricane force winds in our area is now only about 3%.
After a very scary hesitation on the forward speed tonight, Ike has resumed his track on a west sw direction. The big question on his intensity after he leaves Cuba will greatly depend on whether he is over land or water. The current forecast takes him almost across the entire island. This would have a huge impact on his intensity. He could emerge as a cat 1 or even a tropical storm. He will most likely intensify, and possibly rapidly, after he emerges into the Gulf.

The Florida Keys are the most vulnerable and will come the closest to the winds of Ike. I t would not be impossible to see very windy conditions in this area, especially the lower Keys. Remember that only small shifts in the forecast track could bring more winds or rain to this area.
All in all, we are looking better with every forecast. I don’t think there will be much more of a west trend but rather a fairly stable track that may shift slightly left and right with passing time.
You can check the latest models here.