Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Your Latest Florida Weather Information
Hi everybody. We are now tracking a rare cat 4 hurricane in November. Recent Recon has found that pressures have dropped to 943 MB. Since the clou tops have warmed a bit in the last pass, it is possible that the top winds have peaked. Another plane is scheduled in a few hours. Paloma is beginning an eyewall replacement cycle so there could be some fluctuations in strength over the next couple of hours. The cyclone should enter an area of incresing shear so a slow weakenning trend is likely to begin. Please note that that late in the forecast period, Paloma is expected to make a west backward loop, but as a much weaker system due to the strong wind shear that is expected.

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. Paloma is still reverring his engines. Paloma is still getting stronger and at a faster pace then before. Pressures are falling and the cyclone has a well defined cloud pattern with cold cloud tops. Winds are now at 115 MPH or cat 3 strength. Paloma will likely keep getting stronger until the cyclone hits the verticle wind shear sometime tomorrow. Models are starting to show a west turn at the end of the forecast. This is not a big concern to us as the wind shear, if this happens, will rip the system apart.
Regardless, The Cayman Islands and Central Cuba will be under the gun for an extremly dangerous storm. Visit Hurricane Central for all the updated Forecasts and Models. For the latest model runs ( I will updating these shortly) scroll down to the storm box and click “Models”.

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. It is quite rare to be tracking a hurricane in the tropics given the time of year. Rare as it it is, wea are tracking a hurricane that is still getting stronger with dropping pressures. The models are in decent agreement that the system will drift north over the next 24 hours. The cyclone will then turn more to the northeast and cross Cuba as a hurricane, possibly major. The sytem will then cross the Central Bahamas and weaken. This is the scenerio that is most likely. A couple of models actually take the system west where weakenning would occur. This is not the most likely prospect, however. Most of the models are showing a well organized cyclone when Paloma crosses Cuba. That is not good news for the island nation as they have been slammed with storm after storm this season. The Bahamas have had their share of storms also.
Paloma has rapidly intensified over the past 24 hours by 34 knots. The current forecast calls for this rapid intensification mode to end in about 24 hours. Paloma has a very impressive outflow pattern and is in an area of low verticle shear. After crossing Cuba, the shear is expected to increase and that combined with the passage over Cuba will help to weaken the system. That will be good news for the Central Bahmas as Paloma enters THe Atlantic.
You can view the latest track and model graphics at Storm2008.net.

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. We are now tracking TS Paloma. Currently, satellite imagery is showing incresed organization and Paloma is expected to become a hurricane. Paloma is currentlt in an area of very light wind shear and warm oceanic temperatures. Significant strengthening is possible with rapid intensification a possability. Most of the models show Paloma rotating around a low level ridge which should kick the system NE across Cuba and the Bahamas, possibly as a major hurricane. Interests in this region should moniter the storm carefully. You can get the latest tracks and models at Hurricane Central. I will have a full update this afternoon.

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

As of 5 PM we are now tracking Tropical Depression 17. Depression 17 is forecast to strengthen into a tropical storm as it recurves back to the NE. In fact, some of the models are forecasting a major hurricane before it crosses Cuba. Conditions in this area are extremly favorable for development. Near the end of the forecast period, verticle shear is expected to increase and this will bring about an abrupt weakening of the system at day 5. Late season storms are sometimes very slow moving so the forecast guidance may be too quick in taking the system out of the Caribbean.

Now tracking Invest 93

 I know most everybody is glued to the TV tonight watching the election results. I am now tracking Invest 93. The area has become better organized during the day and bears watching. Most of the models are keeping it south as it except for the very precarious LBAR which is very close to extreme South Florida. Remember, hurricane season lasts until November 30th and hurricanes can form in any month of the year. Thsis system could become a tropical entity over the next couple of days. Nothing to worry about now but it absolutly bears watching. Here is the direct link to the models. They will be updated as needed.

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Latest observations show that the area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean is getting better organized and a depression could form at any time. An aircraft is scheduled to enter the system today. I will have a full update on the findings later this afternoon.

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. The first real cold front of the season will be embarking on East Central Florida this weekend. Temperatures will dip into the 50’s, possibly the lower 50’s on Sunday night. This cool weather will last into next week.
 
The next 2 days will be extremly unsettled with a strong high pressure ridge banding with a low pressure center. This will bring showery weather to our area tonight. Stating tomoorrow, Rain will become heavier and more widespread as the low moves into the Gulf and merges with a well developed storm in the Plains. The  wind flow will generate a classic “overrunning” rain event that is characterized by widespread and steady rainfall. The heaviest rain will occur Friday and Friday night with the chances around 80%.
Saturday, a strong jet coming down from the Plains will help push the rain out of our area and usher in the cold front.
Sunday will be gorgeous with temps barely making 80 and lows in the 50’s. Once we get through the rain, get ready for some great fall weather!
Follow the radar action right here as the rains begin to fall. Tomorrow, I may activate the Digital Doppler loops as the system evolves. I will send a notification with the link when it is actvated.

Florida Weather Information

Expect gusty northeast winds across much of the Treasure Coast on Monday. A lake wind advisory is in effect from 10 a.m. to 7 p.m., the National Weather Service says.
A strong high pressure system is building down the eastern seaboard and will create winds from between 15 and 20 m.p.h., gusting to as high as 30 m.p.h. this afternoon.

The strong winds will create rough and hazardous boating conditions on area lakes and in Intracoastal waters. This may result in high waves.

Heavy showers are also possible. We are also carefully watching Invest 98 as it slowly gets orgainized. An aircraft will be in the area today to check out the system. Models are mixed and have the system going almost anywhere.I will update all this information this afternoon.

We are tracking Tropical Storm Kyle in the Atlantic!

Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. We are tracking Tropical Storm Kyle in the Atlantic. Kyle appears to be gettinhg his act together as he moves to the n-ne. He is in an area that is demonstating some wind shear which is the main facter in keeping the system in check. The intensity forecast is somewhat probleatic as the system is going to enter an area with less wind shear in the coming days. That should allow Kyle to strengthen. Depending on the rate of intensification at that time, we will tghen have a better idea of what strength Kyle will be when he nears New England or the Canadian Maritimes. Kyle could be very well be a hurricane when he approaches these areas.

The model forecast is also a bit problematic in the far reaches of the forecast. Residents in the NE US need to pay close attention to the progress of Kyle. This is especially true for New England. It is not out of the question for New England to experience hurricane conditions.

Although Kyle should start to weaken once he gets north of the Gulf Stream, there is a good possibility that he will maintain hurricane strength as he nears the New England area.
We will have to closely moniter the track changes (if any) over the next few days.
Invest 94 is now over the Carolinas with wind gusts near hurricane force but with no closed circulation, it cannot be officially classified.

If you have friends, relatives in the NE, please advise them to keep a heads up on the weather this coming week.